Sagicor Financial Corporation
Sagicor Financial Corporation (SFC) was not spared the effects of the global economic recession and weakened financial environment in 2009. For the year ended December 31, 2009, SFC reported diluted earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.181. This represents a decline of 48.7 per cent from the EPS of US$0.346 recorded in the previous year. Excluding one-off acquisition gains of US$18.8M and foreign exchange gains of US$10.9M in 2008, as well as a foreign exchange unwinding loss of US$9.3M in 2009, Core EPS would have declined 10.0 per cent from US$0.239 in 2008 to US$0.215 in 2009. The board of directors has recommended a final dividend of US$0.02 to be paid on May 21 to shareholders on record as at April 21, 2010. This will bring the total dividend for the year to US$0.04, as compared to US$0.05 in 2008.
Excluding the one-time acquisition gain, Total revenue grew 14.9 per cent over the year from US$1.05B to $1.21B. Contributing to this growth was an 18.4 per cent expansion in Net premium revenue to US$842.9M, with growth coming from the US and UK operations and a decline in the Caribbean. Net investment income increased 21.6 per cent to US$294.2M. Fees and other revenue, which included foreign exchange gains and losses, fell 28.0 per cent to US$68.2M.
On the expenditure side, Total Benefits rose 27.8 per cent from US$573.4M to US$732.5M in 2009. As a percentage of Revenue, Benefits accounted for 60 per cent in 2009, up from 54 per cent in the previous year. For the same period, Expenses increased 13.7 per cent to US$390.2M.
The combined increase in Benefits and Expenses was significantly higher than the growth in Revenue, and as a result Income before taxes fell 45.2 per cent over the year from US$150.9M to $82.6M.
A higher effective tax rate of 17.0 per cent in 2009, as compared to 14.7 per cent in 2008, further reduced the bottom-line profitability. Net Income for the year was US$70.5M, a 43.8 per cent decline from US$125.2M in the prior year. As a margin of the top-line, Net Income accounted for 5.8 per cent of Total revenue, versus a stronger 11.7 per cent in 2008.
Looking at the Group’s investment portfolio, marked-to-market losses on Available for sale financial assets of US$96.5M in 2008 were reversed, and a gain of US$44.1M was recorded in 2009 as financial markets rebounded. Overall, Total Comprehensive Income was US$100.8M in 2009, as compared to a Loss of US$15.4M in the prior year.
Total assets expanded from US$3.98B to US$4.46B, growing the balance sheet by 12.1 per cent. The group’s capital adequacy improved over the year, with the Minimum Continuing Capital and Surplus Ratio (MCCSR) increasing from 244 per cent to 273 per cent. This is comfortably above the 150 per cent ratio recommended by the Canadian regulations that SFC has adopted.
Going forward, growth in Net premium income will be challenged as the economic and financial environment remains weak, although stabilising. While new business growth in the US and UK has contributed substantially to the top-line, these operations have put increased pressure on the level of benefits paid out and expenses incurred. On a positive note, the Benefits ratio has been reduced over the last two quarters as shown in Exhibit 1, but the Group will need to manage costs to improve profitability.
The impact of the Jamaica Debt Exchange programme will be reflected in performance in the coming quarters. This impact is not expected to be significant as the face value of instruments exchanged for JM$ and US$-denominated instruments were US$372.5M and US$100.3M respectively. This accounts for approximately 21 per cent of debt securities or 14 per cent of total financial investments. The Group’s Standard & Poor’s credit rating of BBB (in line with the Barbados Sovereign rating) was unaffected by the Exchange.
At the current price of TT$10.15, SFC is trading at a trailing Price/Earnings multiple of 8.9 times, below the market multiple of around 13 times. One possible reason for SFC’s relatively lower multiples is the lower dividend payout. The payout ratio of 22 per cent compares unfavourably to the average 40 per cent payout policy of the banking sector.The market-to-book ratio of 0.87 is attractive as compared to the five year average of 1.3 times. On a technical note, the stock is trading around the lowest values since listing in 2004. Although the Group may be challenged to grow the bottom-line, its valuation parameters remain strong. BOURSE maintains a BUY recommendation.
Prestige Holdings Limited
Prestige Holdings Limited (PHL) reported a diluted EPS of $0.051 for the three months ended February 28, 2010 as compared with a diluted EPS of $0.108for the comparative period of 2009. Excluding one-off losses in 2009 from discontinued operations in Puerto Rico, earnings from continuing operations increased 17 per cent year-on-year from $0.115 to $0.134.
At the top line, Sales Revenue for the quarter declined 13.8 per cent from $185.7M to $160.1M.This decline was attributed to a change in accounting method for its Dominican Republic investment in Kentucky Foods Group Limited and a shorter Carnival season in T&T. The Group recorded a 15.1 per cent fall in Cost of Sales from $123.6M to $104.894M.
Gross Profit narrowed11.1 per cent from $62.1M in 2009 to $55.2M in 2010. Operating restaurants expense fell 13.7 per cent to $40.7M. Operating restaurants profit was fairly flat over the period at $14.5M. As a percentage of Sales, the Operating Profit margin improved from 8.0 per cent in 2009 to 9.1 per cent in 2010.
As a percentage of operating profits, Net Finance costs continued to fall, accounting for 21.8 per cent in the last quarter versus 33.2 per cent in the previous year. Profit before taxation increased from $10.4M to $10.8M. A lower effective taxation rate of 25.6 per cent, versus 32.7 per cent in 2009, boosted Profits from continuing operations by 15.3 per cent year-on-year to $8.0M as shown in Exhibit 2. This improvement came against the backdrop of an unprofitable fourth quarter in 2009. Including losses on discontinued operations, Profit for the period fell 54.7 per cent to $3.0M.
While liabilities continue to be reduced, the Group’s total assets fell 8.3 per cent to $338.7M in the quarter.
The Group has continued to shed its under performing operations throughout the Caribbean and this will hopefully strengthen its core performance in the coming years. In the quarter under review, the last of its Long John Silver’s restaurants was closed in Trinidad, as well as one more unprofitable TCBY store. In T&T, the Group has noted that its KFC, Pizza Hut and TGI FRIDAY’s businesses continue to post improved profitability, despite lower sales in the quarter. Another KFC has been opened in Maraval, and this should contribute to overall profitability in the coming quarters.
TGI FRIDAY’S in Jamaica recorded higher profits, despite the slower economic conditions. The Barbados operations continued to improve its loss position. In the remainder of 2010, these areas should be fairly stable.
Looking at the big picture, a more stable inflationary environment should help PHL to contain its Cost of Sales in 2010. However, given the stagnant economic conditions that exist in all of the markets in which the Group operates, revenue growth may prove a challenge going forward. Cost containment has been one of the key areas of improvement over the past few quarters and will continue to play an important role in the Group’s profitability.
At the current price of $3.50, the stock price has declined 8 per cent year-to-date. It is trading at a trailing P/E multiple of 16.5 times and forward P/E of 12.1 times, fairly in-line with the market multiple. BOURSE maintains a HOLD recommendation.(Trinidad Express)